Edit: We survived an ice age and we’re very highly adaptable. Plus, we will hold on to some percentage of technical knowledge that will help us adapt faster.
Edit: We survived an ice age and we’re very highly adaptable. Plus, we will hold on to some percentage of technical knowledge that will help us adapt faster.
I’m looking for factual peer reviewed research. Do you have a source such as a academic paper or journal?
I haven’t seen anything to suggest that billions will die. That seems very far fetched to me.
It’s important to remember that science is inherently conservative and doubly so for climate change Erring on the Side of Least Drama.
If you read any of the IPCC reports you’ll note they are very careful to not really provide any death estimates or anything. However, one can attempt to extrapolate a risk model from those descriptions from that we can analyze key takeaways from the WG2 report 1
Based on the existential risk model, that’s 3.3 billion currently facing some level of existential risks. If the impacts remain “at the high end of previous estimates”, which they very likely will, then that’s >3.3 Billion potential deaths.
^1: using Wikipedia summary because the report is 3675 pages long and ain’t nobody got time for that^
To expand.on this in a less than scientific way; one can only imagine what will happen when 1-3 billion people face existential threats. Think that a few tens of thousands of refugees is a problem?.wait until you have billions of them. What are you going to do, stop them at your borders?
Food and water scarcity will invite even more wars.
There is lots of fun ahead of us
Let’s try a new game, the burden of proof is on you, as you’re the one saying we are all somehow being dramatic. So, go fetch us some credited peer reveiwed papers from the past 5 years that say we are being dramatic…
Kemp et al. 2022 - Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios
TL;DR: Societal collapse seems possible, more research is needed.